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Posted: December 30th, 2022
The Rise of the Snow Dragon: Assessing the impact of China’s increasing role in the Arctic on the future development of its regional governance regimes
China has rapidly increased its presence and influence in the Arctic region over the past decade, leading some to refer to it as the “Snow Dragon.” This rise in China’s involvement in the Arctic has significant implications for the future development of regional governance regimes in the region.
One major impact of China’s increasing role in the Arctic is the potential for it to reshape the existing balance of power among the Arctic states. China is not an Arctic state, but it has increasingly sought to assert its presence in the region through its “Polar Silk Road” initiative, which aims to build infrastructure and invest in resource development in the Arctic. This has led to concerns among some of the Arctic states, particularly those with territorial claims in the region, about China’s intentions and the potential impact on their interests.
Another impact of China’s increasing involvement in the Arctic is the potential for it to influence the development of regional governance regimes in the region. China has consistently called for a more inclusive and cooperative approach to Arctic governance, arguing that it should be treated as a “near-Arctic state” due to its economic and scientific interests in the region. This has led to some concerns among the Arctic states about China’s influence on the decision-making processes in the Arctic Council, which is the main regional forum for cooperation on Arctic issues.
A third impact of China’s increasing role in the Arctic is the potential for it to drive the development of new regional governance regimes in the region. China has called for the creation of a new “Arctic Circle” forum to promote cooperation and dialogue among all stakeholders in the Arctic, including non-Arctic states. This could potentially lead to the development of new governance structures in the region that are more inclusive and representative of the diverse interests of all stakeholders.
The rise of the Snow Dragon in the Arctic has significant implications for the future development of regional governance regimes in the region. It is likely to reshape the existing balance of power among the Arctic states, influence the decision-making processes in existing forums, and potentially drive the development of new governance structures. It is important for the Arctic states to carefully consider the potential impacts of China’s increasing role in the region and work to ensure that any new governance regimes are transparent, inclusive, and responsive to the needs and interests of all stakeholders.
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